CIDCM | The Futures of Conflict: Exploring the Use of Comparative Scenarios in Track II Peacebuilding

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	The Futures of Conflict: Exploring the Use of Comparative Scenarios in Track II Peacebuilding
	The Futures of Conflict: Exploring the Use of Comparative Scenarios in Track II Peacebuilding International Studies Perspectives vol. 6, iss. 3 1 August 2005 by Andrew Blum This paper develops a prototype for a new type of conflict analysis tool designed to be used as part of a Track II peacebuilding process. The tool, termed Conflict Analysis through the Structured Evaluation of Scenarios (CASES), provides information on relevant comparative cases by systematically analyzing cases from the Minorities at Risk (MAR) dataset. Each of these cases is then turned into a scenario so that it can be used as part of a scenario planning process designed to analyze the likely future trajectories of the conflict. This is a preprint of an article whose final and definitive form has been published in International Studies Perspectives Š 2005 copyright Blackwell Publishing, Inc. International Studies Perspectives is available online here. >> Go to article

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